Tuesday, May 29, 2007

What to Look For in a System

Up and coming bettors often ask me what to look for in a system to use. Here are three tips that I consider "must-haves" of any system that you seriously consider:

1. Paper trade it before you use it for real. Paper trading means try out the results on a sheet of paper (use a computer and a spreadsheet if you want) before you put real money on the line. If the system works for you on "paper" it will work for you in real life. That's great... but not all systems work. So before you find out that your system is a loser, try it out for free. You will cost yourself some profits if you have a winner, but that will be more than offset by the money you save by skipping the losers.

2. Get a money back guarantee. If the author/publisher/whoever won't give you a money back guarantee, that should tell you all you need to know. If the product is worth anything, you'll more than likely be willing to pay 10 times the asking price. But if the seller isn't willing to give you a guarantee, their product probably isn't worth anything.

3. Think before you buy a system. What are you really paying for? Do you need a tipster or the latest piece of software? Maybe you do once you're up and running and you just want to become more efficient. But I've always believed that "if you teach a man to fish, you feed him for a lifetime". Set yourself up with a tipster or some software, and you're dependent on that. Get a system that you can learn, apply... and improve. Don't get reliant on something that may or may not work.

There you have it. Follow those three tips and you will be able to find yourself a system that works.

The Bookmaker's Nightmare: A Review

From time to time, I will review a product or a "system". Today, since this is the first product, I am going to review something I know well and use (almost daily)... that product is Bookmaker's Nightmare.

Before I get into it, I will tell you what I like the least about Bookmaker's Nightmare: you don't have to love horses or horse racing to make money with this system. I know that's what many people are looking for (they just want to make a quick buck). But I love horses and I love horse racing. That I can make a living with it is simply a blessing.

... so that's the downside - whether you know anything about horses or not, you can make money using Bookmaker's Nightmare. I think that's a negative because I wish only those of us who love horses could make money from horse racing.

But whether you're new to horse racing or whether you're an old pro, Bookmaker's Nightmare has something for you.

If you're a beginner (or maybe even if you're not), have you ever struggled to "do the form"? If you have, then here's the solution for you. Bookmaker's Nightmare will teach you how to get other people's losses into your pocket.

The best thing about Bookmaker's Nightmare is that it shows you how. There are countless examples and worksheets. It's not just theory that you need a PhD to understand. It's all laid out for you. Those TV guys would say "it's so easy a cave man could do it"... and I like that. Be a cave man... go to the track, hunt some winners, and bring home money. That's a great feeling!

Learn all the secrets and learn how to bet horses like a pro with Bookmaker's Nightmare. Like I said at the beginning, this is a system that I know and use nearly everyday. I highly recommend it.

Some of you may ask why I am recommending Bookmaker's Nightmare. You're probably wondering why I would tell anyone about the system I use to make a living. Aren't I just creating more competition for myself? Well, in a sense, I suppose I am. But I doubt that many folks will take it as seriously as I do. And there are a lot of tracks and a lot of races out there. I'll make more than my share. :-) I always do...

If you would like me to review a specific product, just leave a comment (or send me an email) and I will be happy to review it in a future post. I'm probably already familiar with whatever it is that you are thinking of using or buying. Just let me know what you're looking at and I'll be happy to tell you if it's worth your time or money.

9 Steps to a "System"

I regularly meet people at the track who are just there to have a good time for the day. They often don't know what they're doing. They have a good time and they lose some money. I love those people... they're the people who allow me to make a nice living at the track.

Some of them ask me for tips or pointers, and I'm usually happy to give a few tips. Few people take them seriously though. If you take the tips below seriously though, you'll be well on your way to a profitable trip to the track:

Most people think that you need to be an expert to produce a successful and profitable horse racing system which produces winner after winner.


However creating your own winning system is not difficult if you follow these 9 simple steps.

Let’s consider a hypothetical horse called ‘Old Nag’ and see if conforms to these 9 steps! All the relevant information on ‘Old Nag’ can be found in the offline or free online version of the ‘Racing Post’ which is the industries leading newspaper.

* The number of runners in a race will obviously affect the chances of ‘Old Nag’ winning. A big field means more competition. It follows that it would be difficult to pick a winner in a race of more than 12 runners.

* The type of ground a horse is running on is one of the most important factors in the outcome of a race. The ‘going’ should be good or good to firm. If the going is soft or heavy then the outcome of the race could well only depend only on the size of ‘Old Nag’s’ feet!

* When a horse ran its last race is also important. If ‘Old Nag’ has not run for a while it would be difficult to judge its present form. Its last race should have been run in the present season, and no longer than 28 days ago. The shorter the period from its last race the better.


* Of course it would not be a good bet if the horse ran a few days ago only to come in last! It follows that its form or where it was placed in the last few races is important. Ideally you would want ‘Old Nag’ to have come in first or second in the last 3 races.


* The distance the race has to be run is also important. If the race is too short ‘Old Nag’ may not have enough time to show its true form. On the other hand if the race is too long anything could happen… the apocalypse might come, or the jockey might fall asleep! A safe distance would be between 5 furlongs and less than 3 miles.

* The ‘Racing Post’ is the countries leading newspaper on all things to do with horse racing. Only the top tipsters appear in this paper. Their forecast for the winner of each race appears in a part of the Racing Post called ‘The Selection Box’. If 60 to 80% of them tip ‘Old Nag’ as the potential winner then its time to sit up and take note.

* The letters C and D sometimes appear in the horses form. The C means the horse has been a winner over this particular course at sometime in the past. The D means he has been a winner over the distance the present race is being run. If C or D (or preferably both) appear then this is a strong indication that the horse should be considered.

* Handicap races are notoriously difficult to predict as theoretically all horses should pass the finishing line at the same time. So choosing non handicap races means even ‘Old Nag’ might have a chance.

* Finally favourites win around 33% of the time. So look out for favourites especially if they are 3/1 or lower in the betting.

Of course even if ‘Old Nag’ meets all these criteria there is still no certainty that it will win. There is a way, however, where you will ALWAYS profit from a race. You can email me at ian.paton3@btinternet.com for more information on this.



Now, I don't know Ian from Adam, but I think you'll agree, that's some good info. Take that to the bank.

Introduction

Hi, and welcome to my blog of horse racing tips. I have been betting on horses for more than 10 years... and I decided it was time to set up a blog.

I won't profess to know it all, but I do know a winner when I see one. This blog is new and is just getting started. But check back often because I'll be posting frequently. I will be giving tips, strategies, and secrets. I'll even give updates from time to time on what I'm doing (what my results are) and what's working for me and what isn't.

Thanks for reading, and good luck!